Peer-Reviewed
Henn, Soeren, Laura Paler, Wilson Prichard, Cyrus Samii, and Raul Sanchez de la Sierra. “Seeing like a Citizen: Experimental Evidence on how Empowerment Affects Engagement with the State.” Forthcoming, American Journal of Political Science. [pdf][Original pre-analysis plan][Revised pre-analysis plan].
Baron, Hannah, Robert Blair, Jessica Gottlieb, and Laura Paler. 2024. “An Events-Based Approach to Understanding Democratic Erosion.” PS: Politics and Society [open access].
Blair, Robert, Jessica Gottlieb, Brendan Nyhan, Laura Paler, Pablo Argote, and Charlene Stainfield. 2024. “Interventions to Counter Misinformation: Lessons from the Global North and Applications to the Global South” Current Opinion in Psychology 55:101732 [link].
Paler, Laura, Jeremy Springman, Guy Grossman, and Jan Pierskalla. 2023. “Oil Discoveries and Political Windfalls: Evidence on Presidential Support in Uganda.” Political Science Research and Methods 11: 903-912 [open access].
Marshall, Leslie and Laura Paler. 2021. “Class, Ethnicity, and Cooperation Among Women: Evidence from a Public Goods Experiment in Lebanon.” The Journal of Experimental Political Science 8(1): 26-40 [pdf] [appendix].
Daly, Sarah Zukerman, Laura Paler and Cyrus Samii. 2020. “Wartime Ties and the Social Logic of Crime.” Journal of Peace Research 57(4): 536-550 [pdf] [appendix] [monkey cage].
Paler, Laura, Leslie Marshall, and Sami Atallah. 2020. “How Cross-Cutting Discussion Shapes Support for Ethnic Politics: Evidence from an Experiment in Lebanon.” Quarterly Journal of Political Science 15(1): 33-71 [pdf] [appendix] [pre-analysis plan].
Paler, Laura, Camille Strauss-Kahn and Korhan Kocak. 2020. “Is Bigger Always Better? How Targeting Aid Windfalls Affects Capture and Social Cohesion” Comparative Political Studies 53(3-4): 359-398 [pdf] [appendix].
Paler, Laura, Leslie Marshall and Sami Atallah. 2018. “The Social Costs of Public Political Participation: Evidence from a Petition Experiment in Lebanon” Journal of Politics 80(4): 1405-1410 [pdf] [appendix] [policy brief] [pre-analysis plan] [Dataverse].
Samii, Cyrus, Laura Paler and Sarah Daly. 2016. “Retrospective Causal Inference with Machine Learning Ensembles: An Application to Anti-Recidivism Policies in Colombia.” Political Analysis 24(4): 434-456 [pdf] [Dataverse].
Grossman, Guy and Laura Paler. 2015. “Using Field Experiments to Study Political Institutions” Handbook of Comparative Political Institutions, eds. Jennifer Gandhi and Ruben Ruiz-Rufino, Routledge [pdf].
Paler, Laura. 2013. “Keeping the Public Purse: An Experiment in Windfalls, Taxes, and the Incentives to Restrain Government” American Political Science Review 104(7): 706-725 [pdf] [appendices] [Dataverse].
Paler, Laura. 2005. “China’s Legislation Law and the Making of a More Orderly Legislative System,” The China Quarterly, vol 182: 301-318 [pdf].
Under Review and Underway
Paler, Laura and Sarah Khan. “Shy Women Voters: Private Preferences and Public Expression in the 2024 U.S. Presidential Election” R&R.
Ahrenshop, Mats, Augustin Bergeron, Laura Paler, Gabriel Tourek, and Jonathan Weigel, “Delegating Tax Collection does not Adversely Affect Demand for Accountability: Evidence from an Experiment in the D.R. Congo” Under Review. [pdf] [pre-analysis plan].
Paler, Laura. “When Contact Causes a Public-Private Divide: Evidence from a Parasocial Contact Experiment on How Social Costs Limit Public Expressions of Change” Under review. [pdf] [pre-registration].
Paler, Laura, Kyle Gray, and Pauline Sow. “Parasocial Contact through Reality Television can Reduce Prejudice Among Adults.” Working paper. [pre-registration].
Select Policy Publications
2023. Blair, Robert, Jessica Gottlieb, Brendan Nyhan, Laura Paler, Charlene Stainfield, Pablo Argote. “Interventions to Counter Misinformation: Lessons from the Global North and Applications to the Global South” Submitted to the United States Agency for International Development [pdf].
2019. Atallah, Sami, Daniel Garotte Sanchez, Zeina Hawa, Leslie Marshall, and Laura Paler. “What Do Lebanese Citizens Want from Oil and Gas?” in The Future of Petroleum in Lebanon, eds. Sami Atallah and Bassam Fattouh, Bloomsbury Publishing.
2016. “Survey on Total Tax Burden in the Democratic Republic of the Congo,” submitted to DFID (with Wilson Prichard, Raul Sanchez de la Sierra, and Cyrus Samii).
2015. “The Social and Environmental Impact of the Community Rangers Program in Aceh” submitted to the World Bank (with Cyrus Samii, Matthew Lisiecki, and Adrian Morel) [full report] [policy brief-English] [policy brief-Indo] [annex].
2014. “Return to Legality or Recidivism of Ex-Combatants in Colombia,” Submitted to Fundacion Ideas para la Paz (with Sarah Daly and Cyrus Samii) [full report-Spanish] [policy brief-English].
2014. “The Effects of Payments for Environmental Services and Decentralized Forest Management on Deforestation and Poverty in Low and Middle Income Countries: A Systematic Review” International Initiative for Impact Evaluation (3ie), Campbell Collaboration International Development, and Collaboration for Environmental Evidence Systematic Reviews (with Cyrus Samii, Matt Lisiecki, Parhsar Kulkarni, and Larry Chavis).
2011. “The Sub-national Resource Curse: Causes, Consequences and Prescriptions” (prepared for the Revenue Watch Institute and Open Society Institute-LGI) [pdf].
2009. “Community-Based Reintegration in Aceh: Assessing the Impacts of BRA-KDP” The World Bank Indonesian Social Development Paper #12 (with Patrick Barron, Macartan Humphreys, and Jeremy Weinstein) [pdf] [data].
Laura Paler 