Publications

Articles and Chapters

Samii, Cyrus, Laura Paler and Sarah Daly. 2016. “Retrospective Causal Inference with Machine Learning Ensembles: An Application to Anti-Recidivism Policies in Colombia.” Political Analysis [pre-print] [Dataverse].

Grossman, Guy and Laura Paler. 2015. “Using Field Experiments to Study Political Institutions” Handbook of Comparative Political Institutions, eds. Jennifer Gandhi and Ruben Ruiz-Rufino, Routledge [pdf].

Paler, Laura. 2013. “Keeping the Public Purse: An Experiment in Windfalls, Taxes, and the Incentives to Restrain Government” American Political Science Review 104(7): 706-725 [pdf] [online appendices] [Dataverse].

Paler, Laura. 2005. “China’s Legislation Law and the Making of a More Orderly Legislative System,” The China Quarterly, vol 182: 301-318 [pdf].

Under Review

Paler, Laura, Leslie Marshall and Sami Atallah, “The Social Costs of Public Political Participation: Evidence from a Petition Experiment in Lebanon” [pdf] [appendix] [pre-analysis plan]. (Revise and resubmit at Journal of Politics).

Daly, Sarah, Laura Paler and Cyrus Samii, “Wartime Ties and the Social Logic of Crime” [pdf] [appendix] [monkey cage]Under review.

Paler, Laura and Camille Strauss-Kahn, “The Adverse Effects of Targeting Aid at Vulnerable Groups within Communities” [pdf] [appendix]Under review.

Working Papers/Projects

Paler, Laura, Leslie Marshall and Sami Atallah, “Can Discussion Across Divides Reduce Support for Sectarian Politics? Experimental Evidence from Lebanon,” [pre-analysis plan]Working paper.

Paler, Laura, Leslie Marshall and Sami Atallah, “Understanding Economic Interest in Ethnically Divided Societies: Evidence from Survey Experiments in Lebanon,” [pre-analysis plan].

Henn, Soeren, Laura Paler, Wilson Prichard, Cyrus Samii, and Raul Sanchez de la Sierra. “On the Mechanics of Kleptocratic States: Administrators’ Power, Protection, and False Confessions” [pre-analysis plan].

“A Devil’s Bargain? The Effects of an Oil Discovery on Presidential Support in Uganda” (with Guy Grossman and Jan Pierskalla).

Policy Publications

2016. “Survey on Total Tax Burden in the Democratic Republic of the Congo,” submitted to DFID (with Wilson Prichard, Raul Sanchez de la Sierra, and Cyrus Samii)

2015. “Oil and Governance in Uganda” submitted to the donor (with Guy Grossman, Jan Pierskalla, and Leslie Marshall).

2015. “The Social and Environmental Impact of the Community Rangers Program in Aceh” submitted to the World Bank (with Cyrus Samii, Matthew Lisiecki, and Adrian Morel) [full report] [policy brief-English] [policy brief-Indo] [annex].

2014. “Return to Legality or Recidivism of Ex-Combatants in Colombia,” Submitted to Fundacion Ideas para la Paz (with Sarah Daly and Cyrus Samii) [full report-Spanish] [policy brief-English].

2014. “The Effects of Payments for Environmental Services and Decentralized Forest Management on Deforestation and Poverty in Low and Middle Income Countries: A Systematic Review” International Initiative for Impact Evaluation (3ie), Campbell Collaboration International Development, and Collaboration for Environmental Evidence Systematic Reviews (with Cyrus Samii, Matt Lisiecki, Parhsar Kulkarni, and Larry Chavis).

2013. “Somalia Feasibility Assessment.” Prepared for DFID and the International Rescue Committee (with Grant Gordon and Guy Grossman).

2011. “Empowering Citizens to Combat the Resource Curse” (prepared for the Revenue Watch Institute and Open Society Institute-LGI).

2011. “The Sub-national Resource Curse: Causes, Consequences and Prescriptions” (prepared for the Revenue Watch Institute and Open Society Institute-LGI[pdf].

2009. “Community-Based Reintegration in Aceh: Assessing the Impacts of BRA-KDP” The World Bank Indonesian Social Development Paper #12  (with Patrick Barron, Macartan Humphreys, and Jeremy Weinstein) [pdf] [data].

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